PERSPECTIVES → BELTWAY BRIEF Issue 1060 · May 7, 2025

Trump’s Great Realignment Sale

A “Middle East Neutrality Pact” could be born— not out of ideology, but out of exhaustion

Trump’s Great Realignment Sale

The Syrians might not know this yet, but as Trump’s negotiations with Iran develop, he’s going to start courting them. Quietly at first. Then loudly, and maybe with hats. He’ll offer the deal of a lifetime to a regime barely surviving. Not because Syria deserves it, but because flipping Iran’s erstwhile ally would be peak leverage.

So, Iran will get the maximum pressure encore in the form of sanctions, standoffs, and nuclear ultimatums. He’ll talk tough, act tougher, and expect Tehran to come crawling back to him, ideally with a denuclearization plan and a love letter. Meanwhile, a polished version of Syria will be gently placed back on the regional shelf facing both Mecca and Wall Street.

And if it works? This won’t just be a Syria side hustle. It’ll be the prototype, a region-wide renovation plan disguised as diplomacy. The formula’s simple enough to fit within the Mar-a-Lago crest:

spot a collapsed regime with commitment issues and questionable company

show up with cameras, cash offers, and just enough legitimacy to make it awkward

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