LONG READS Issue 889 · December 8, 2021

Crystal Ball in Crisis  

After his epic failure predicting the New Jersey race, leading pollster Patrick Murray pronounces his craft dead

Crystal Ball in Crisis  
Photos: Courtesy of Monmouth University, AP images

A month is an age in politics, and bar the last few bedraggled “Jack for Governor” lawn signs in Lakewood braving the winter weather, there are few outward clues to the heated campaign fought over the New Jersey governorship a few weeks ago.

The uninitiated observer would be hard-pressed to divine the fierce tones of a local political race that took on national dimensions.

But while all involved — from the freshly reelected incumbent governor Phil Murphy to the defeated challenger Jack Ciattarelli, and the politically divided Jewish communities — have moved on, there’s one man who feels he can’t.

Patrick Murray, founding director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute — considered one of the nation’s premier survey firms — admitted in a November 4 op-ed that he “blew it” on the recent New Jersey gubernatorial election.

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