THE CURRENT → THE ROSE REPORT Issue 1011 · May 15, 2024

Wishful Thinking Won’t Make Trump Go Away

How can Trump be leading Biden when one out of every four voters in Republican primaries voted for someone else? Can the national polls be that far off, or are other factors at play?

Wishful Thinking Won’t Make Trump Go Away

Many anti-Trumpers who thought they’d thrown in the towel after Donald Trump locked up the Republican nomination in early March have found something to reignite their interest in the race.

Nikki Haley, the most defiant Trump challenger, is still garnering a double-digit share of voters in the Republican primaries two months after dropping out of the race, even as she quietly settles into her new role at the conservative Hudson Institute think-tank.

Haley won close to 22% of the vote in last week’s Republican primary in Indiana and 16% in the Pennsylvania primary in the last week of April. In all the 2024 primaries before press time, the former South Carolina governor and pro-Israel UN ambassador has landed 20% of the vote, limiting Trump, the clear frontrunner, to just 75%.

Her continued strong showing sparked a weekend report in Axios that Haley was once more in the running to be Trump’s vice presidential pick — a story the Trump campaign team quickly shot down before it could turn into another Haley surge piece for anti-Trumpers who’ve overeaten at the trough of wishful thinking.

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