THE CURRENT Issue 1068 · July 2, 2025

Iran War Roundtable: Aftershocks

With no such thing as a free lunch, what will be the price of Trump’s support?Mishpacha’s news analysts unravel the scenarios

Iran War Roundtable: Aftershocks
As the dust settles below the Israel-Iran horizon, did Iran’s nuclear program really get knocked out, and for how long? Does the trouncing of Hamas’s Iranian paymasters mean a breakthrough in Gaza is near, and is regional expansion of the Abraham Accords realistic, or even safe? With no such thing as a free lunch, what will be the price of Trump’s support? Mishpacha’s news analysts unravel the scenarios.

Panelists

Binyamin Rose, Mishpacha’s editor at large and writer of Rose Report
Gedalia Guttentag, Mishpacha’s deputy editor
Avi BlumEsq., writer of Knesset Channel
Jake Turx, Mishpacha’s Washington correspondent

 

1: The shooting has stopped over the Israel-Iran corridor. So, as the dust settles, who won and who lost?
Rose:

Israel, with help from the US, caused much more damage to Iran than Iran did to Israel — but this was expected, because Iran cannot match Israeli and American superiority in weapons, defense systems, and intelligence gathering. The campaign fell short of outright victory because it had limited goals and aimed for a quick ending. The only real win would have been for US or Israeli special forces to take control of Iran’s nuclear sites, ensure their destruction, and recover the “missing” 800 pounds of enriched uranium Iran could still use to make atomic weapons.

The repeated claims that regime change was not a goal weakened the entire effort. There’s no way to stop Iran’s nuclear program without removing the regime that has aggressively pursued its nuclear ambitions with malicious intent.

GG:

By all conventional measures, Israel had extraordinary military success against a large country over 1,000 miles away. Beginning with an opening strike of clockwork precision, it achieved aerial dominance, decapitated Iran’s military and scientific leadership, and knocked out many of the country’s nuclear facilities. America also had a good war: Trump bombed Iran, and got away with it.

But despite suffering humiliation, Iran avoided defeat. As was obvious from Iran’s last-minute strike on Be’er Sheva, Iran was a long way from beaten in that regard. In short, Israel humiliated Iran, but the regime still poses a major threat.

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