Numbers Game

Elite polling guru Dave Wasserman on Democrats’ redistricting plan 

So says polling guru Dave Wasserman, whose catchphrase, “I’ve seen enough,” has become a political sphere meme.

Dave Wasserman, 37, crunches survey numbers the way most Americans eat breakfast cereal. The prominent Cook Political Report’s elections expert, whose purview is the House of Representatives, is on the elite list of prognosticators whose calling of races is deemed definitive. That list includes the Associated Press, CNN, Fox News, Reuters, and the New York Times. Nate Silver of the FiveThirtyEight blog marveled at how “Wasserman’s knowledge of the nooks and crannies of political geography can make him seem like a local.”

Wasserman’s blog entry for FiveThirtyEight, written two months before the 2016 election and titled “How Trump Could Win the White House While Losing the Popular Vote,” proved prescient, and cemented his reputation as an elections wunderkind.

For the upcoming midterm elections, Wasserman’s crystal ball predicts that Republicans are on track to take back Congress, “perhaps by a convincing margin.” He estimates that they could win between 15 and 30 House seats, and one to three Senate seats.