“We are going to crush the Republicans in November — guaranteed!” exclaimed a Democratic strategist.
His optimism didn’t surprise me. Democrats have a viable path to winning big this November. But the word “guaranteed” is deadly. In politics, you learn fast that glittering moments are often fool’s gold. So what would a prudent political prospector make of the terrain ahead?
Hopeful Nuggets
What caused my Democratic friend to leap with joy? The news that Virginia voters approved his party’s effort to gerrymander the state. For those not up-to-date on this battle, you may recall the 2025 effort by Texas Republicans to engage in an unprecedented mid-decade redrawing of districts in their deep-red state.
It was such a great idea, the Democrats stole it. Soon blue states were outpacing red states in redistricting, with Virginia becoming the latest treasure. But this is just one hopeful nugget that the Democratic Party can point to. They can quickly scoop up a number of other gleaming objects that would spell disaster for Republicans.
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