THE CURRENT → THE ROSE REPORT Issue 959 · May 3, 2023

Biden’s Doomsday Scenario

Forecasting election results is a pollster’s job, and many of them have been notoriously inaccurate

Biden’s Doomsday Scenario
Biden’s Doomsday Scenario

President Biden made it official. He is running for re-election, clearly unconcerned about skeptics such as Nikki Haley, who predicted that Biden will not outlive his second term in office and that a vote for Biden is a vote for President Kamala Harris, as Biden himself once mistakenly called her.

Predicting lifespans is a risky business best left to actuaries.

Forecasting election results is a pollster’s job, and many of them have been notoriously inaccurate, and that’s being diplomatic.

Until someone comes up with a foolproof method of picking winners, we’ll give pollsters one more chance to redeem themselves. And for now, most of them are pointing to Biden’s low job approval rating as his top risk factor.

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