With less than 50 days to go until the election, let’s see how the five swing states look
I was born in St. Louis but grew up in Cleveland. I remember my parents talking about how Missouri and Ohio were both swing states. I felt important, even though I couldn’t vote. Missouri voted for the Republican Eisenhower in 1952, Democratic Kennedy in 1960, and back to a Republican in 1968 with Nixon. Ohio had a similar, more recent pattern: It went for the Democrat Clinton in 1996, then the Republican Bush in 2004, then for the Democrat Obama in 2012. Lately, neither Missouri nor Ohio seems likely to swing: Missouri hasn’t gone Democratic since 1996, and Ohio voted for Trump in the last two elections.
This year we can count five swing states. They voted for Trump in 2016 and flipped to Biden in 2020, and they are very much up for grabs this year: Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.
With less than 50 days to go until the election, let’s see how they each look.
2020 margin of victory: 20,682 votes
Current Polls: Bloomberg has Harris up 8 points, CBS News has Harris up 2 points, and The Hill/Emerson Poll has Trump up 1 point.
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