Some curious divergences that foretell a tightening of the race for the Republican presidential nomination
The Wall Street Journal reported the best news for Trump, publishing its poll over the Labor Day weekend showing that the former president’s lead has widened nationwide to 46 points.
The campaigns of Vivek Ramaswamy and Ron DeSantis pushed back — releasing internal polls that they paid for — indicating that each of them has narrowed Trump’s margin in Iowa.
The Real Clear Politics average poll now places Tim Scott in third place in Iowa and in a virtual tie for third with Chris Christie in New Hampshire.
Iowa and New Hampshire are small states with very few convention delegates, but they traditionally play an outsized role in determining the eventual nominee. Ten of the last 12 Republican presidential nominees won either Iowa, or New Hampshire, or both. There is value in breaking quickly from the gate and galloping with that momentum into the states with richer delegate counts.
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